At least 23,621 cases of Covid-19 detected this Monday, November 22 in Belgium: while these figures are not yet complete, it is quite simply the absolute record of contamination coronavirus recorded in one day since the start of the epidemic.
It is necessary to bring a downside to this frightening observation, it is thatwe have never tested so much that right now. We also broke a record last Friday with 131.840 tests performed in 24 hours on November 19. But it is not just because we test more that we detect more cases: the positivity rate continues to climb, it is now 15,7% (and even 23,7% in 0-9 year olds), a sign that the real number of contaminations continues to be underestimated: testing / tracing can no longer follow.
This means that the situation which is already very tense in hospitals will not improve right away, since contaminations continue to increase. TOvec 16,100 cases detected per day between 14 and 20 November, the update of the table of Sciensano reveals a 53% increase of this average compared to the previous week, a significant acceleration.
The rate of this increaseis a bit forced, because we compare a “normal” week with a week which included the public holiday of November 11th. The “real” increase is probably around 30%. But that remains a lot and despite the reduced risk of severe cases provided by the vaccine, this has repercussions on admissions, the average of which continues to climb by more than 20% per week. There was still 335 admissions of Covid patients this Tuesday in a single day (for 306 the previous Tuesday).
This inevitably ends up having an impact on the number of deaths, which is also constantly rising (+33% over a week), with now more than 37 dead of the Covid per day.
The consolidated figures in Sciensano’s table
Note: these figures are taken from updated data published by Sciensano in open data and tabulated here.
Cases detected¹ : between 11/15 and 11/21, 16.100 new coronavirus infections were detected on average every day. This is an increase of 53% from the previous week.
Tests : between 15/11 and 21/11, an average of 108.160 tests were performed daily, a total up 34% from the previous week.
Admissions : they amount on average to 294,6 between 11/18 and 11/24. This is an increase of 22% from the previous week.
Hospitalized people² : 3397 patients are currently hospitalized in connection with Covid-19, including 686 patients treated in intensive care.
Positivity rate³ : based on the results of the tests obtained between 15/11 and 21/11, it is 15,7%, up 1.9% from last week.
Reproduction rate : calculated on the basis of changes in admissions, the Rt of the coronavirus today stands at 1,12. When it is greater than 1, it means that the transmission of the virus is accelerating.
Death : between 11/15 and 11/21, 37,3 people have died from the virus on average. Since the start of the epidemic, 26,743 people have died from the coronavirus.
¹ The cases detected are the number of patients for whom a positive test has confirmed the presence of the virus. The date that is considered is the date of the diagnosis, not the test result. Data is considered consolidated after 4 days. The number of cases may depend in part on the testing strategy: if we test more systematically, we also detect more cases.
² Hospitalized patients include patients who have already been hospitalized for another reason and who have tested positive.
³ The positivity rate is the number of positive tests compared to the number of tests performed. The same person can be tested several times. It also depends on the testing strategy: if we do not test enough, the positivity rate will be higher.